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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD eases below 0.6700 after mixed China's inflation data
AUD/USD is facing fresh selling pressure, easing below 0.6700 in the Asian session on Friday. after the release of mixed inflation figures from China. The focus now remains on the US NFP report, which will influence the Fed's rate-cut path and drive the US Dollar, eventually impactintg the major.
USD/JPY rises back above 157.00 as USD finds fresh demand
USD/JPY is hovering near the top end of its weekly range, just above 157.00 early Friday. The pair cheers renewed US Dollar demand ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls data. Meanwhile, an unexpected rise in Japan's Household Spending keeps the door open for further BoJ policy tightening, supporting the Japanese Yen and keeping the pair's upside limited.
Gold defends $4,450, looks to the crucial US NFP report
Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish move up from the vicinity of the $4,400 mark and attracts some sellers while defending $4,450 in the Asian session on Friday. The critical US employment details will offer more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path, which, in turn, will influence the US Dollar price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding bullion.
Forecasts for Payrolls are all over the place
Yesterday’s data put the kybosh on the idea the Fed needs to cut rates fairly urgently to protect the labor market. The jobs component of the ISM services index was nicely over 50, and that rising JOLTS voluntary quits rate also points to no real heartache in labor.
2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet
Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.
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S&P 500
The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is a stock market index tracking the stock performance of 500 of the largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States (US). It is seen as a leading indicator of US equities and includes approximately 80% of the total market capitalization of US public companies.
The S&P 500, operated by S&P Dow Jones Indices, is weighted by free-float market capitalization, meaning that larger companies have a greater impact on the index. Constituents and their weights are regularly updated based on rules set by S&P Dow Jones Indices.
The S&P Index Committee, comprising analysts and economists at Standard & Poor's, selects the companies based on criteria such as market size, liquidity, and industry grouping.
Over time, the S&P 500 serves as a key benchmark for the US economy.
HISTORIC HIGHS AND LOWS FOR S&P 500
- All-time records: Max: 6,001.35 on 11/11/2024 – Min: 4.40 on 05/1932
- Last 5 years: Max: 6,001.35 on 11/11/2024 – Min: 2,237.40 on 23/03/2020
* Data as of November 2024
ASSETS THAT INFLUENCE THE S&P 500
- Currencies: US Dollar (USD).
- Commodities: Oil and Gold.
- Bonds: US Treasury Bonds.
ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE, AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE THE S&P 500
Since the S&P 500 is a benchmark of US stocks, its value is influenced by a variety of decisions and indicators affecting major companies, including:
- Economic indicators inflation – Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) –, consumer confidence (University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index), economic growth (GDP), employment (Nonfarm Payrolls), and salaries (Average Weekly Earnings).
- Interest rates, decided by the Federal Reserve (Fed), the central banking system of the US. Jerome Powell, the 16th Chair of the Fed, has held the position since February 2018 after being nominated by Donald Trump and confirmed by the Senate.
- Fiscal policy, trade deals, and business laws decided by the US president, the Treasury Department and the Department of Commerce. The Treasury focuses on fostering economic stability, growth and financial integrity, while the Department of Commerce supports economic growth and established industrial standards.
- Energy prices such as electricity and Oil directly impact production costs for companies within the S&P 500.